football outsiders strength of schedule

Heck, the first season of The League ended up with the clueless doctor winning the championship. So the strength-of-schedule factor may be meeting its match this season. I probably don't have any choice but to throw the dice with Jackson anyway, so I guess it's just between Stewart and Moore unless I wanted to get really, really cute and go with Gresham. In the modern incarnation of playoff tiebreakers, the strength of schedule tiebreaker has never come into play. He religiously supports and follows Juventus FC, the Virginia Tech Hokies, and the Indian National Cricket team. This week was the final regular-season game in one, although it's only a four-team playoff. Strength of victory is the tiebreaker before strength of schedule, and on the somewhat uncommon occasions in which strength of victory has come into play, there have never been identical winning percentages for the two (or more) sets of teams defeated by the tied teams. Cardinals (1-4) The 49ers have by far the toughest remaining schedule based on DVOA at 12%, which is 4.9% higher than any other team. Tom: Johnson isn't going to play this week, and I wouldn't trust him to play much even if by some improbability he is active. Jacksonville was a really, really good pick-up. If you can't get Jones, though, I'd go with Tolbert and hope that San Diego pulls off the upset. Strength of Schedule NFL 2021 There are few things as paralyzing as being on the clock in your fantasy football draft with two players on your mind. 49ers (6-10, 4-8, 4-2) Might be this Sunday Night with Baltimore @ San Diego. If one looks at only the 2004 strength-of-schedule chart, the two teams have identically-difficult schedules (both teams' 2004 opponents were a combined 125-131 in 2003). Send in your questions to Contact Us or our handy forum thread! Let the NFC West and the NFC South play those two divisions, as they currently do. Tom: As do several seemingly non-bothersome things, it kind of annoys me. What do you think it actually tells us? Comments? I'd want a team's strength of schedule calculation to formally be the record of the two foes you play that your divisonal mates don't, as well as the intraconference record of the teams in the division in the opposite conference. 26. This prevents obvious mismatches (such as a 200-pound athlete going up against a 110-pound athlete). The total SoS of a Power 5 team will be the sum of the TRS scores of all the Power 5 opponents it faces. As you note, though, it matters a lot for draft purposes. Pierre Thomas @ MIN. Their reasoning is largely based on the premise that the NFC East is. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Here, each recruit is weighted according to a Gaussian distribution formula that gives the most points to the team's best recruits. 2 and 3 present difficulties with the NFL's current schedule, in that it's possible that two teams could go a season without managing more than one game that fits into either category: e.g. In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by jmoh (not verified). Tom: Josh McDaniels did re-discover that the Rams employed Jackson and could give him carries in the red zone in the fourth quarter of Monday night's game. The bottom right quadrant consists of teams that play a tough schedule but are not sufficiently equipped themselves or in other words, the rest of the SEC. 2. Also hoping for some input, I usually hate doing this, but: ADP vs NO, Hillis @ ARI, Sproles @ MIN, Brandon Marshall @ BUF, AJ Green @ STL, Marques Colston @ MIN, Santonio Holmes @ PHI and Daniel Thomas @ BUF for two RB two WR one flex? Indianapolis Colts 4. San Francisco has a good pass defense. Flores: Thanks so much for all your advice! We're used to seeing strength of schedule listed as the average of last season's records for all 16 opponents. (No recruiting service is going to perfectly predict how well a given athlete is going to perform in the field over three to five years in college. Instead, we're adding insult to injury for Matt Moore, who more than negated his touchdown with two fumbles and an interception for 2 points. auto-draft for him. ", In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by BaronFoobarstein. What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? ESPN's playoff machine tells me that it will if the Texans, Pats and Ravens all win out, because each would have a 10-2 conference record. For instance, Virginia Tech has a Team Resource Ratio of 1.01, indicating that its schedule is evenly matched. Santonio Holmes vs PHI, or Mike Tolbert vs. Ravens D both sound like awful choices. So what if a team is going to play weak opponents in the coming year; if they also played a cream-puff schedule last year, how will it help them improve? The top seed was last year's champion, the eighth seed hasn't made it past the first round of the playoffs in the six years we've run this league. What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? Detroit Lions What NFL team has the hardest schedule in 2022: Based on projected win totals, the Kansas City Chiefs have the hardest strength of schedule for the 2022 NFL season. If the Cardinals didn't play the Giants, there's exactly one opponent in common: maybe the Redskins. If the Cardinals played the Giants they'll have no common opponents (though it doesn't matter unless we somehow had a tie). This is an obvious observation. The Rams are fourth in DVOA at 25.5%, behind only the Ravens, Bucs and . One of the reasons is that your record is incorporated into your opponents' record. Team Total DVOA Prev. When you're looking at tiebreaking, there are the obvious ones: 1. Owen Daniels definitely appears to be Yates' preferred target, and given the quality of the Panthers rush defense the Texans could end up with like a 3:1 run:pass ratio. In 2014, two data scientists from Automated Insights, the firm that creates computer-generated draft report cards for Yahoo's fantasy football leagues, found that a Week 1 win put your playoff . Matches between a Power 5 team and a non-Power 5 team are not counted towards the Power 5 team's SoS. consider the Cardinals and Giants hypothetically having the same record in a year the NFC West plays the NFC South. Choice No. In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by Dr. December t (not verified), He: "What is that new ringtone? All I know is that the Jinxes won, so yay for Elias? Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Jets QB Josh McCown had an outstanding game on Sunday, as demonstrated by the advanced stats at Football Outsiders. While Auburn has the toughest schedule in the SEC, Oregon State (Pac-12), Georgia Tech (ACC), Michigan (Big 10), and TCU (Big 12) have the toughest overall schedules in their respective conferences. But at some point, any system is results-based, and is blind to the fact that Chicago is suddenly starting Hanie, or the Eagles defense shouldn't have been allowed on the field this year. The primary takeaway from this chart is how two (or more) teams can have a widely different strength of schedule (based on the Average Power 5 SoS Score), and still have the same number of opponents with lower Team Roster Scores than themselves. (Remember that weaker strength of schedule means a higher pick in the draft.) But as we know, both are winless after five games, including losses to non-Power 5 opponents. Let that sink in. And if you win a division game, that effectively has twice as much impact on your strength of schedule. and Colts opponents had a record of 121-135 last year total. DVOA breaks down every play of the . In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by Jerry. Intentional Rounding (No. Far more insight can be gained by comparing a team's strength of schedule for the upcoming season with the one they played the previous season. "There has to be some way to sort out teams who end the season with the same record,". Either Moore or Meachem could randomly have a huge game, but there is no way to tell. Bills (0-3) A combination of a team's margin of victory and the difference its resources and those of its opponents can lead us to a parameter that could help assign a number to that X factor, making the intangible aspect now a measurable quantity. And Newton's particularized extra value depends on rushing touchdowns, and even for good rushing QBs who get red zone carries, I can't trust that. Rather than mock a commercial this week, your Scramble writers decided to provide you with the most unusual musical accompaniment involving their local metropolis they could find. It features a fairly lame eight-team playoff in a ten-team league. There certainly shouldn't be different rules in effect for the regular season vs. the playoffs. Not counting the war-shortened seasons of 1943 through 1945 and the strike-shortened season of 1982, 312 NFL/AFL teams won fewer than five games in a season from 1933 through 2002 -- and of those 312 teams exactly one of them made the playoffs both the year before and the year after: the 1962 Chargers. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. WIDE RECEIVER: Tom is grateful he's in a PPR league, as he earned more than Davone Bess's -1 Loser League score. I finished seventh in points, so I didn't end up with an undeserved fate. 7, Danny, 5-6) 86. New England's secondary is just so bad, though. Woe is me. In order to do this, we need to identify and quantify the "resources" available to each team. SEA DEF is better and Chicago may potentially have no scorer besides Devin Hester depending on if Lovie Smith benches Marion Barber after his stupidity in the last game or not, though STL is about as bad at scoring. ", In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by Jeff Fogle. Isn't it the only tiebreaker used in draft order (for non-playoff teams with the same record)? Buccaneers (10-6, 8-4, 3-3) AND Giants (10-6, 8-4, 3-3) <-- nhthg Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? Mike, what do you make of the NFL's use of strength of schedule? Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. My flex is a disaster though. 3. Year Rank W-L Weighted DVOA Offense DVOA Defense DVOA Special Teams DVOA Estimated Wins Unadj. What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? Tom: I would rank Decker over Manningham myself. This new parameter takes each team's Resource Ratio and subtracts the hypothetical average of 1.00. Week 13 Staff Picks: Is Chris Olave Best Bet for OROY? Each year, 247Sports provides a team's recruiting class with a composite rating based on the composite index for each player in that class. (I will be hoping along with you.). In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by Wikitorix (not verified). Had the Colts gone 6-0 in the AFC South, their opponents aggregate record would have been 119-137. 10 best defense in DVOA history (including playoffs). Take North Carolina for instance. I'm not a huge fan of any of Colston, Holmes, or Thomas. Some may overperform and some may underperform. This tells us not only which teams are generally punching above (or below) their own weight, but also by how much. However, unlike wrestling, the resources that any team can procure in college football are not completely in their control. So, a funny thing happened in the first round of the FO Staff Playoffs: All the top seeds won. Football Outsiders is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Bills (4-12, 3-9, 1-5) AND Broncos (4-12, 3-9, 1-5) <-- nhthg Denver's defense won't be able to stop New England's offense, and Bill Belichick isn't going to be stupid enough to shut down his defense (or tell Tom Brady and Wes Welker to cool their jets) when they have a lead. But this can only be calculated at the end of the season and in hindsight. Alabama Football: '22 Schedule Strength, SEC Championship and Playoffs Any list of teams in contention for a '22 Playoff slot that does not include Alabama Football and Georgia would be a. Of course, this is liable to problems with a good team in a really bad division getting a cheap advantage over a good team in a good division (49ers have it easier than the Jets, for instance, at least when the gold pants aren't losing to the Cardinals). Tom: Well, it matters for wild card purposes. 17. And the extra one-game playoff is part of the regular season. Niners Nation a San Francisco 49ers community Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? And so, at the other end of the spectrum, Ohio State is the most heavily mismatched team in terms of being too well equipped for the schedule it plays. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. NFC N and E: 8-8. However, I tried out an extreme version of this scenario, and it doesn't seem to work out like this. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. Bengals (4-12, 3-9, 2-4) The site is run by a staff of regular writers, who produce a series of weekly columns using both the site's in-house statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games. Tom: Carson Palmer has been making so many mistakes lately I'd be tempted by the Lions. The Strength of Schedule tool ranks how difficult a team's upcoming matchups are for players at each position. More complex systems are needed as the number of games drop or the number of teams increases. It converts average industry ranks and ratings into a linear composite index capping at 1.0000, which indicates a consensus No. The principal error sources here will be (in no particular order) Sproles as well. 10. And formulating and computing that X Factor will help quantity that. 3. How low can he go? Tom: From the perspective of the Colts' strength of schedule, it doesn't matter which of the Eagles or the Redskins win their divisional games. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Does common opponents do the trick here (guess: no)? Also: NFC S: 10-6 His bench? Note that this does not include BYU, which faces seven non-Power 5 teams. What is also true is that it is not the only "resource" that matters. Look at Schaub's attempt counts against teams like Cleveland and Tampa, and then factor in that Carolina has a worse run defense than either, and Yates is not Schaub. Tom: We do start 11 of them. It gives us a broad picture of the resources of a team's opponents over the course of a season. If you search the Internet to find out, chances are you'll run across a chart that looks like this: But what kind of useful information does this really provide? FCS College Football - 2022 Strength of Schedule. Teams don't move the outfield in, or insert a fifth infielder, unless the winning run is on third. Redskins (6-10, 4-8, 2-4) So you'd go with L. Robinson over Austin? But since not all teams play the same number of Power 5 opponents, it would be prudent to incorporate the number of non-Power 5 teams played into any discussion or illustration of the SoS of all Power 5 teams. Tom: It bothers me, as a matter of principle, that playing a strong division in the other conference punishes you doubly: you're less likely to win, and it's likely to hurt your strength of schedule. OK? 4. Point differential of one sort or another used to be on the list, but the league really wants to avoid the situation where a team just needs to lose by less than N points. Mike: I'm going with Roethlisberger, actually. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. An obscure element can't "figure heavily. Mike: That isn't the playoffs! The playoff simulator told me that if that does happen, Baltimore gets the #1 seed, and NE the two. Yes, I would start Tebow this week over Newton. 1. That's Great Hustle! ?31. In football terms, Messi's pursuit of World Cup glory with Argentina is as close as you'll get to replicating Michael Jordan's "Last Dance" with the Chicago Bulls. Total VOA Schedule Pythagorean Wins Head-to-head if applicable. An ugly, tarnished coin. For this article, we've gone through and analyzed each team's schedule both in the games so far (Weeks 1-8) and in the games to come (Weeks 9-17) based on Football Outsiders DVOA ratings . ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). I guess it is pretty rare for three teams to each have the same record and conference record. I wonder if Robinson will continue to put up big numbers if he's not seeing the field. Based on the above table, we can formulate a new parameter that can estimate the degree of mismatch in a team's Power 5 schedule. Sure, your data is slightly different, but does that actually give you better results? Did you put that on my phone? Time: 7:30 PM EST. "It bothers me, as a matter of principle, that playing a strong division in the other conference punishes you doubly: you're less likely to win, and it's likely to hurt your strength of schedule.". Choice No. Of course, if you remove games against the Colts, I think it also makes sense to remove all of the games that essentially count for double. As an example, let's use the 2010 Indianapolis Colts, who went 10-6. In fact, you should be viewed as a better team for it. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. Plus, when you compare the Colts and the Vikings, you can throw out the NFC South (each NFC South team has both the Colts and the Vikings on their schedule); when you compare the Colts and the Rams, you can throw out the AFC North (similarly). However, Auburn is well-equipped to take on such a difficult schedule with a TRS of 273.2. 3. Giants (5-0) North Texas Mean Green (7-5, 6-2 CUSA) vs. UTSA Roadrunners (10-2, 8-0 CUSA) Date: Friday, December 2, 2022. I should have edited that part to say something intelligent instead of what I actually typed in our conversation. How do the numbers stack up for each Mountain West team? Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Based on the above assumptions, the table below lists all the Power 5 teams in tiers according to the number of games a team plays against opponents of lesser resources than itself. Giants win the NFC East. 3. They are ranked 29th in the nation in Team Roster Score (211.4) -- well below teams like South Carolina, Michigan State, Stanford, and Arkansas. An interesting assessment of strength of schedule. Quick note: This group of Loser League team names contains some good ones, better than the first part ones IMO. If it's still tied, then it's a tie. The players are the team's biggest resources. But what if we turn this understanding of what the SoS should be on its head? Interesting questions. Mike: Why are you doing this, though? For instance, true freshmen rarely make a noticeable impact, with the best players often being redshirted. What this means is that if a team has a sufficiently low Avg Power 5 SoS Score, it can be favored with regard to TRS for a large number of games despite its own TRS being relatively low. It's barely ever in the discussion and hasn't been used as the good doctor pointed out in an earlier comment. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Injuries and transfers will take their toll, as will coaching transitions and the like. Because, frankly, my opponent was not that great. I don't have much respect for Colt McCoy though, and thus would probably go with the Cardinals as an overall better choice. With most of the games in any team's schedule played against teams from the same conference, the above table indicates that there is significant variation in the distribution of resources within each conference. And to visualize this even better, below is the chart that ties everything together. Double down on your Jones prayers, as with DeMarco Murray's injury I think he's a good play going forward. "The strength of schedule tiebreaker has never come into play" is the important point. Brazil may not have savoured World Cup glory since 2002, but they are five-time winners and currently boast the strength in depth - with the likes of Neymar, Vinicius Junior and Alisson at their disposal - to make them 4/1 (5.00) favourites in Qatar. ", 4. AFC S: 3-13 Of course, that was before multiple rounds of playoffs designed for television. New today at ESPN+, I go through and rank all 32 teams by their remaining schedule strength, looking at who has it tough (Atlanta, Jacksonville) and who has it easy (Seattle, Miami). Ohio State and Wisconsin have two of the easiest schedules among all Power 5 conference teams. Packers (3-2) Apparently "giving up" trumps "ridiculously injured". Or are there a small number of high resource teams and a relatively larger number of teams with moderately lesser resources? Mike: My bench is Lance Moore, Mario Manningham, Jermaine Gresham, Robert Meachem and James Jones. I'm not sure how common opponents would work for three teams. The Panthers have a terrible run defense, the Texans are at home, and if they can possibly give Tate and Foster 25 carries each they will. Felix Jones, Andre Johnson (wishful thinking!) Saints (2-2) However, apparently both Chicago RBs are available on waivers. Sorry, by common opponents, I meant "on your schedule." He largely rejects social media and instead blogs at arbitblogs.wordpress.com. Waiver wire options are the Cardinals vs CLE, Dolphins @ BUF and Lions @ OAK. Detroit Lions Receivers Key to Daily Fantasy. Will Georgia's Balanced Attack Win Another Championship? And, uh, Lance Ball? Tom: If we want to compare the Colts to, say, the Ravens, then that information doesn't strike me as very important. 11. RB: C. Johnson @IND, McCoy NYJ and Felix Jones @TB. It sounds like ADP's planning on playing, so play him. Anyway, field test. - coaching and development. Schedule Strength in College Football Photo: USA Today Sports Images Guest column by Akshay Ramprakash In college football, strength of schedule (SoS) has generally referred to the cumulative/average/weighted strength of all the relevant opponents of a team during a given football season. And if AJ by some miracle does play, should he play in place of any of the above choices? This includes players who played in their freshman season and those who may have been redshirted (thus resulting in a fifth year of eligibility). 5. Mike: Wow, someone actually said they love the column. Some players overperform their initial ranking whereas some will underperform. Known Chumpsky (No. 5. Los Pollos Hermanos (No. This will be the "Average Power 5 SoS Score.". I guess things like net points, and strength of schedule (however you calculate that). Of course, I have turned around and put in a waiver claim for Atlanta for this week, who are playing Jacksonville and Jackonsville's awful, awful offense. If there was just a widespread acknowledgment of the limits as to the actual information in a team's strength of schedule calculation, I'd be fine with that. Also, Kevin Walter is available as well, as I assume he'll get more attention with Andre Johnson likely out. Colts (2-3) Hell, I'd settle for a Jag over a tricked out Toyota. A ton. Re: Schedule Strength in College Football, ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews), Weights Assigned to Each Recruiting Class for the 2018 Team Roster, Strength of Schedule based on Team Roster Scores of Power 5 Opponents, Strength of Schedule based on a Team's Resource Ratio, Resource and Schedule Based Rankings at End of Regular Season. Tom: It's a coin-flip for me between Tolbert and Holmes. Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? How to use Strength of Schedule. I was looking in particular at Kahlil Bell since a) Lovie Smith might bench Barber for his idiocy, and b) with PPR in effect and Bell being used like Matt Forte, he seems to get a decent number of receptions as well. There has to be some way to sort out teams who end the season with the same record, and given the short NFL season, there are going to be a lot of them. Mike: I don't think the Lions can generate enough pressure to force those errors out of Palmer. *Steelers (12-4, 9-3, 5-1) The scoring in my league is such that limiting yards and points is what's most valuable (30 point baseline for a shutout with under 200 yards given up going down to -8 for giving up 36+ points and 450+ yards with the usual scoring for DST TD, sacks, safeties, and interceptions). Use promo code, Sunday NFL Liveblog: Eagles, Giants Fight for Playoffs, Khalil Mack Key to Chargers' Chances Against Dolphins, Jason Kelce's All-Time Block Leads Eagles Over Titans. The Bills' schedule through 12 games is tied for fifth toughest based on the wins by opponents. Broncos (1-3) But then again Austin had been underwhelming for me all year before his injury. 2. Team Resource Ratio gives us a way to broadly determine how well or poorly matched a team is with its schedule. It was simply a function of the NFL's annual . . 4. Take for example the following teams: Wisconsin, Baylor, Stanford, and Auburn. Gates is the better player, but again the opponent has me second guessing myself. *Chiefs (10-6, 6-6) Make them in our discussion thread, or contact Anthony at ajbrancato @ yahoo.com. Tom: It doesn't matter much how good the division you play in the opposite conference is, because a lot of that information comes out in the wash. That's a far cry from where we were before the Bowl Championship Series, which was designed to have No. Yes, our seedings are all messed up because Tom screwed up the bye week situation. I'd go with Welker for sure, then Wallace, then Robinson, then Austin would be my pecking order. And yes, St. Louis' tight end defense is really weird since the only other category they're above 20th place in is against No. Figures "heavily?" Mike: OK, fair enough. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. But this "error" will not be restricted to any specific school/conference/state, and will instead be spread out across all schools and conferences.). Tom: After the mediocre job I did of predicting how the Titans-Saints game would go last Sunday, I am not surprised. How is that not helpful? Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule, ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). It tells us that a potentially nine-win Wisconsin team has nowhere near the same Strength of Schedule as a potentially nine-win Auburn team (with Baylor and Stanford falling somewhere between them). A lot of what you are pointing out is what I have tried to allude to in the very last section as the X Factor. I fell from grace about four weeks ago, losing two in a row, but in the meantime I clawed my way back and finished the season with the top seed. Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Did you win? That's it. Iowa may have had the easiest schedule among all Power 5 teams (as per the Average Power 5 SoS Score), but they are so poorly equipped that they are still generally punching above their own weight with a 1.05 Team Resource Ratio. I think that is a powerful message, really: Do not take this game very seriously. Are there an equal number of Power 5 teams with more and lesser resources? Mike: Triple them, really, since your alternatives are Holmes and Tolbert. At RB, even after last week's dud by CJ, I'd still start him against the Colts. 38.84 points. Common opponents. Browns (2-3) Manningham, against equal defenses, is a better option. It probably doesn't put enough emphasis on the quality of your division, but I can more or less live with that. Fremeau Efficiency Index ratings (FEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Tom: But we're losing the indirect impact of this, because the strength of schedule measure doesn't reward you for playing a much stronger division in the other league. Mike: I just don't see what, exactly, that gets you compared to the current system. If any of my relatives are reading this, I'd prefer a Ferrari. If you're in a pool that requires you to make two . Sean, meanwhile, left a total of 23 points on the board by benching Matt Ryan (11 more points than his starer), Aaron Hernandez (eight more) and Eagles DST (four more). We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. They reference cupcake games and Alabama's strength of schedule. Mike: It's true. Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming, ESPN: Ranking Remaining Schedule Strength, Support Football Outsiders' independent media and . Anthony Brancato investigates. Therefore there is no one conference that dominates either the top or bottom of this list. Especially considering STL has no passing game to keep the DEF honest. Play Eli. Strategy does change in extra innings. Thus the season results will largely be determined not by strength of schedule but by the relatively difficulty of one or two opponent. There are many dimensions we must examine to fully understand and interpret a team's strength of schedule in terms of each team's own resources and those of its opponents. Mike: Anyway. Two teams with the same record had consecutive seeding, and in their playoff matchup they scored the same number of points. The TRS will thus quantify the available resources to any given team. I should point out I won by 31 points. This dilemma has been a nightmare all year. (Players like Tua Tagovailova and Trevor Lawrence are anomalies.) What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? 32. In reply to Re: Scramble for the Ball: Strength of Schedule by ABW (not verified). You don't think maybe such a large purchase decision should be made jointly? And one of those tiebreakers that figures heavily, both for the draft and for the playoffs, is strength of schedule. Plus, Tebow isn't torching secondaries; he's mixing runs and passes, even against Chicago. 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